2026: four predictions shaping EV adoption and charging

As we move into 2026, the pace of change in the EV and EV charging industry remains strong, but the dynamics are becoming more complex. Growth is no longer driven purely by early adopters or incentives. Instead, it is being shaped by regional policy differences, technological advancements, cost, user experience, and infrastructure access.

These four predictions highlight what is expected to define the EV industry in 2026.

Regional EV growth will increasingly diverge across markets

EV adoption is expected to follow different trajectories across global markets. In the US, demand is likely to slow as early incentive schemes are reduced or removed, and regulatory uncertainty continues to influence consumer behaviour. In contrast, European demand is expected to keep growing, even as some countries scale back purchase incentives.

Despite these factors, the underlying factors driving adoption remain strong. In the UK, new EV sales are forecast to reach 580,000 vehicles in 2026, accounting for approximately 29% of new registrations, as EVs become more affordable and overall user experience improves.  

Longer range vehicles and faster charging will reset expectations

More EV models will enter the market in 2026. Chinese carmakers like MG and BYD, are expected to continue expanding their presence across European markets, offering competitive pricing and high specifications. After a strong 2025, which saw BYD’s car sales increase by 27%, becoming the leading seller of electrified cars in the UK, it is set to launch a number of PHEVs and BEVs this year. Meanwhile, traditional manufacturers are responding with broader and more capable ranges across both mass market and premium segments.  

Moreover, vehicle technology is set to make a noticeable leap in 2026. More EV models are expected to offer real world ranges exceeding 400 miles, supported by faster charging speeds. This combination significantly reduces perceived inconvenience and range anxiety, changing how drivers plan longer journeys.

Near home charging will unlock the next phase of adoption

The continued deployment of near home AC charging will play a critical role in supporting EV uptake, particularly for households without access to off-street parking. According to recent research by Deloitte, of the UK consumers intending to acquire a BEV or PHEV as their next vehicle, over half (52%) do not have EV charger access at home. For these drivers, reliable local charging is essential rather than optional.

As on street and residential charging becomes more widespread, EV ownership will become a practical option for a much larger proportion of the population. Local authority led programmes and public sector investment will remain central to this shift.

Charging network will continue to grow

The EV charging network is expected to grow at a similar rate to 2025. However, applying that growth rate to the much larger installed base of over 87,000 charge points at the end of 2025 means significantly more charge points will be added in absolute numbers. This scale up will bring new challenges, as network reliability will become increasingly important.

Looking ahead

Overall, 2026 is expected to be a year where the EV and EV charging markets become more established. It will be important to focus on practical access to both, strong user experience and infrastructure that works at scale for everyday journeys.